The Buffalo Bills are set to face the Miami Dolphins in a crucial AFC East matchup on Sunday. The Bills are coming off a dominant win over the Washington Football Team, while the Dolphins are looking to bounce back from a blowout loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. One of the keys to the game for the Bills will be to use ball control to keep the Dolphins offense off the field. Here are some reasons why this strategy could work for the Bills.
The Dolphins defense is vulnerable against the run
The Dolphins defense was one of the best in the NFL last season, but they have struggled to stop the run this year. They rank 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (145.3) and 29th in rushing yards allowed per carry (4.9). They have also given up four rushing touchdowns in three games. The Bills have a balanced offense that can exploit the Dolphins’ weakness on the ground. The Bills rank 11th in the league in rushing yards per game (121.7) and 10th in rushing yards per carry (4.6). They have a trio of running backs in Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, and Matt Breida who can share the workload and keep the chains moving. The Bills also have a mobile quarterback in Josh Allen who can scramble for yards or use play-action passes to keep the defense guessing.
The Dolphins offense is inconsistent and turnover-prone
The Dolphins offense has been hampered by injuries and poor execution this season. They rank 27th in the league in total yards per game (287.7) and 25th in points per game (17.0). They have also committed six turnovers in three games, including four interceptions by backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who is filling in for the injured Tua Tagovailoa. The Bills defense has been opportunistic and aggressive this season, ranking fourth in the league in total yards allowed per game (278.0) and third in points allowed per game (16.7).
They have also forced seven turnovers in three games, including five interceptions by their secondary. The Bills defense can put pressure on Brissett and force him into mistakes, or contain him in the pocket and limit his running ability.
The Bills have the edge in time of possession and third-down conversions
The Bills have been able to control the clock and sustain drives this season, thanks to their efficient offense and stingy defense. They rank sixth in the league in time of possession per game (32:29) and fourth in third-down conversions (50.0%). They have also scored 10 touchdowns in 12 red-zone trips, a 83.3% success rate that ranks second in the league. The Dolphins have been unable to keep the ball and convert on third downs this season, due to their ineffective offense and porous defense. They rank 29th in the league in time of possession per game (26:40) and 28th in third-down conversions (31.4%). They have also scored only five touchdowns in 10 red-zone trips, a 50.0% success rate that ranks 24th in the league. The Bills can use their advantage in these areas to keep the Dolphins offense off the field and wear down their defense.
The Bills and the Dolphins are both aiming to improve their records and position themselves in the AFC East race. The Bills can use ball control to keep the Dolphins offense off the field and limit their scoring opportunities. The Dolphins will need to find a way to stop the Bills running game and force them into long-yardage situations. The game will be a test of wills and execution for both teams.